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Monday, April 20, 2009

China accounted for two apple-speed into a intelligent wireless telephone market

By Zou himfr

Some analysts said that Apple will shortly be used by 20% of the Chinese smartphone market. The scribe of this odd conjecture surprised. Apple iPhone does have a powerful mesh market in China, even though the market has not directed to the introduction of aligned trades on the much well liked iPhone rumors were even beside 40% of the aligned flow of goods into the Chinese market, Chinese users can glimpse the love for the iPhone there is little, and I use the iPhone there are some round the water type of Friends.

However, not to say that Apple has not yet and national introduction of mobile operators to reach agreement, both China Mobile or China Unicom and Apple still have negotiations to reach an agreement still could be between the two. Even if true and domestic apple mobile operator to reach an agreement, to formally enter the Chinese market, it can be quickly occupied 20% of the smart mobile phone market? I still can not agree with this. First of all, we can predict is that the program is the introduction of iPhone's domestic mobile operators will focus on what? IPhone 3G is still iPhone1.0 version? If the former, then the iPhone is now the market is not attractive at the beginning was just listed, there have been at iPhoto 3G version, iPhone1.0 so popular these days have the number of market opportunities? Estimated that not more than, after all, now has 3G mobile phone features of other more powerful companies.

If it is not iPhone1.0, but the iPhone 3G version, and even the upcoming Apple iPhone 3.0, then the domestic users of smart mobile applications, where the mainstream? Is 2G or 3G or 2.5G? Obviously not the former, after all, home is just the launch of 3G licenses, and more at the user or stay on the existing network infrastructure, 3G leap is not so easy and direct. Apple iPhone then occupied 20% market share in smart mobile phone is not talking? Want to know more or smart mobile phone users at the time of non-3G. Furthermore, even if true the development of 3G mobile phone fast, the layout of operator also really quickly.

Let us presume that, if iPhone is the introduction of portable entry to to possibility, then the iPhone variety of the introduction of TD will be more a long time? TD to move in the development arranging of the layout and customer prospects of how much? Millions or tens of millions? It is stated that China Mobile said that for three years at the development of TD users to 50 million users. But this year is nothing less than numerous million. The scope of such a tiny, iPhone will account for 20% of China's smartphone share it? Even if TD-take-all of the brainy portable handset market, neither to the two Chinese portable handset into a brainy share, right?

If it is China Unicom, the introduction of the possibility to get iPhone, China Unicom is the number of portable handset users? Just over 100 million, China Mobile has more than 500 million portable handset users, even users of China Unicom, iPhone will only be employed only 20% market share. Of course, the share of the brainy portable handset is in addition a divergence of less than registered, it is clear the two iPhone into share of Chinese portable handset is brainy rhetoric. Or, iPhone in China like to inhabit two out of 100 of the brainy portable handset market is wishful considering, but in addition on the crunchy yield of America analyst to endorse a market it.

As we all recognise, both the in the household portable operator, or Apple, the iPhone to move into the Chinese market has many of looking frontwards to. Apple iPhone can expect to gain more market share, but in addition expect to be competent to get more worldwide portable handset market share. Well, a immense market for Chinese customer foundation and growing market capability has become the crunchy yield can not dismiss the alive of a strong. However, and because Chinese portable operators to converse between the very large crunchy yield lions mouth, do not pay for the first move. China Unicom and Apple like to be competent to arrive at an accord, but China Unicom at the consequence of the in the household market and China Mobile is apparently not comparable to Apple's best move or the object. Thus the formation of a tripartite power strives, a love triangle amid a vicious circle.

In this context, Apple hopes to create more momentum on the iPhone, including plans to introduce the apple iPhone3.0. We can see that the analysis of Bank of America analysts also move for Apple and the agreement reached between the possible. In other words, the end of this monster in the introduction of mobile iPhone. Analysts speculated the United States from the "supply chain in Asia survey showed that confidence apple be able to occupy 20% of Chinese mobile phone market intelligence. According to our survey believe that the apple be able to easily reach and even exceed this goal, and that the iPhone sales may be much higher. "

It is clear that there are many of wishful thinking. Analysts looked frontwards to the United States, if the crunchy yield in the commencing of this year to 500-600 U.S. dollars at the costs of Chinese sales of iPhone, this year's iPhone sales in China will arrive at 1.5 million in 2010 to arrive at 4.6 million, in 2011 will arrive at 5.8 million Department. First of all, to observe the iPhone out 5,6 if the charge of 100 U.S. dollars, do not recognise if users will not accept? The number of operators will be subsidized? Operator is competent to bear? Secondly, if in harmony with its examination of this year arrived at 1.5 million sales, then by 20%, the Chinese market in 2009 the sales of brainy handsets more at some 10,000.

According to iSuppli's examination, even though the worldwide portable handset shipments are looked frontwards to to descent 5%, but China's in the household portable handset market will uphold expansion in 2009 is looked frontwards to to get higher 7%. iSuppli predictions in 2009 in the in the household portable handset market will arrive at 240 million. We can observe that even low-end market, have acted a type of brainy handsets, embracing the Chinese market is more admired shack device is brainy, inexpensive as a marketing point. Therefore, even if Apple's iPhone into the Chinese market, as the two like to promptly inhabited by the market share of brainy handsets is even more arduous, if not the operators to launch a type of means of endorsement, and carry on to costs under insist, but if this accurate, iPhone is in addition of high worth will be bankrupt. In augmentation, after Apple started iPhone3.0 absolutely a new variety of the principle force, but the new variety is not be competent to promptly slice into the Chinese market is very arduous to declare, if accurate crunchy yield China can inhabit two out of 100 of smartphone market, portable operators assessed the charge to be paid on the money. - 18423

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